Geopolitics

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

YES 4%
NO 96%
Platform: Polymarket 24h Volume: $13,201 Total Volume: $767,000 Closes: 2026-06-30 Status: open
This market will resolve to "Yes" if France, the United Kingdom, or Germany initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by French, United Kingdom, or German military forces that impact Iranian ground t
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