Geopolitics

Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

YES 1%
NO 99%
Platform: Polymarket 24h Volume: $530 Total Volume: $277,706 Closes: 2026-04-30 Status: open
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify. For the
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