Geopolitics

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

YES 20%
NO 81%
Platform: Polymarket 24h Volume: $56,786 Total Volume: $56,786 Closes: 2026-06-30 Status: open
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal wi
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