Geopolitics

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

YES 34%
NO 67%
Platform: Polymarket 24h Volume: $15,956 Total Volume: $82,093 Closes: 2026-12-31 Status: open
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Kostyantynivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.528896° N, 37.702514° E) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Kostyantynivka will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the resolution date, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change
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