Geopolitics

Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?

YES 7%
NO 93%
Platform: Polymarket 24h Volume: $18,741 Total Volume: $250,837 Closes: 2026-04-30 Status: open
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United State
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