Geopolitics

Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?

YES 57%
NO 43%
Platform: Polymarket 24h Volume: $19,050 Total Volume: $46,064 Closes: 2026-04-30 Status: open
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Rai-Oleksandrivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.8088° N, 37.8573° E) between market creation and April 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered captured if any part of Rai-Oleksandrivka is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change
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