Geopolitics

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

YES 48%
NO 52%
Platform: Polymarket 24h Volume: $18,484 Total Volume: $115,703 Closes: 2026-04-30 Status: open
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The number of daily transit calls/arrivals includes container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as I
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