Geopolitics
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Platform: Polymarket
24h Volume: $38,005
Total Volume: $277,719
Closes: 2027-12-31
Status: open
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, o
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