Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by at least 20%?

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election. If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins t