Geopolitics

Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?

YES 20%
NO 80%
Platform: Polymarket 24h Volume: $14,056 Total Volume: $51,286 Closes: 2026-04-30 Status: open
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Novyi Donbas, Donetsk Oblast, (48.450718° N, 37.181238° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET). Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on
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