Geopolitics
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Platform: Polymarket
24h Volume: $23,246
Total Volume: $23,246
Closes: 2026-05-15
Status: open
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and May 15, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day m
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